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Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner. Super Forecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. (Ny: Crown Publishers, 2015), a hundred and fifteen.
Roger L. Welsch and Linda K. Welsch, Safeguards from Poor Prediction: Opportunity Literature and Lifespan (Lincoln: University of Nebraska, 1987), 57-72.
Frank R. Wilson, “How to Predict the Economic Upcoming,” Corporate History Look at two, no. five
(2001) database on-line; available in the market from JSTOR, accession number 008456, p. 2 of seven.